BC Battleground – quick reference

Strictly by the numbers based on the 2017 election results.

Where the NDP want to win: BC Liberal ridings (12) that had margin-of-victory of 10% or less in 2017 (x-incumbent expected to seek re-election):

  • 10.1% Boundary Similkameen-Similkameen
  • 9.8% Langley -x
  • 9.4% Columbia River-Revelstoke-x
  • 9.4% Vancouver-Langara-x
  • 8.9% Skeena-x
  • 8.8% Surrey-Cloverdale-x
  • 8.4% Richmond South Centre
  • 8.3% Richmond-Steveston
  • 3.3% Fraser-Nicola-x
  • 1.7% Vancouver-False Creek-x
  • 0.7% Richmond-Queensborough-x
  • 0.4% Coquitlam-Burke Mountain-x

Where the BC Liberals want to win: NDP ridings (9) that had margin-of-victory of 10% or less in 2017:

  • 9.2% Burnaby North-x
  • 9.1% Delta North-x
  • 9.0% Surrey-Panorama-x
  • 7.5% Port Moody-Coquitlam-x
  • 7.3% North Vancouver-Lonsdale-x
  • 6.4% Vancouver-Fraserview-x
  • 6.0% Maple Ridge-Pitt Meadows-x
  • 1.2% Maple Ridge-Mission-x
  • 0.6% Courtenay-Comox-x

Green ridings (1) that had margin-of-victory of 10% or less in 2017:

  • 5.6% Cowichan Valley-x

Overall, 22 ridings – about one-quarter – were settled by 10% margin or less

The battleground will include other seats (beyond the 10% margin) where retirements make a difference, such as Oak Bay-Gordon Head where Andrew Weaver is leaving office after two terms.

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google photo

You are commenting using your Google account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s